AI isn’t a silver bullet, but it is a powerful tool that could position higher ed to thrive, even in an era of austere budgets.

Slashing budgets, saving futures: Can AI rescue higher ed?


AI isn’t a silver bullet, but it is a powerful tool that could position universities to thrive, even in an era of austerity

Key points:

The establishment of a “Department of Government Efficiency” (DOGE) under the Trump administration, led by figures such as Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, is sending shockwaves across higher education. Their agenda is simple: slash government inefficiencies and federal spending–and higher education budgets are squarely in their sights. While specifics remain unknown, a conservative estimate of a 15 percent reduction in federal funding provides a sobering preview of the challenges ahead.

Let’s talk numbers. The University of California, Berkeley (UC Berkeley) operates on a $3.8 billion budget, with $392.3 million coming from federal grants and contracts during the 2020–21 fiscal year (Controller’s Office). A 15 percent cut would strip $58.8 million from Berkeley’s federal funding stream. That’s no rounding error–it’s a fiscal gut punch requiring a hard look at budgets across the board. But here’s the twist: AI has the potential to turn this crisis into an opportunity.

Administrative and operational efficiency

Ever been on hold for 30 minutes to get a simple answer? So have students. That’s where AI-driven tools come in. AI chatbots, like Georgia State University’s Pounce, field hundreds of thousands of student questions annually, freeing up administrative staff for higher-priority tasks. UC Berkeley could deploy similar tools to automate routine inquiries, scheduling, and data entry–saving an estimated $5–10 million annually. This figure reflects a 10–15 percent reduction in administrative workloads, aligning with cost-saving benchmarks seen at other institutions embracing AI.

Personnel management

If there’s a budget category that’s ripe for optimization, it’s personnel. UC Berkeley’s personnel expenses reached $1.38 billion in 2020–21. By implementing AI-driven workforce management systems, the university could optimize scheduling, payroll, and resource allocation. These AI-driven systems use real-time analytics to optimize staff scheduling, streamline payroll, and reduce overstaffing by analyzing workloads and personnel needs.

Here’s what this looks like in dollars: A 1–2 percent reduction in personnel costs would result in $15–20 million in savings annually. Automating routine HR tasks like timekeeping and benefits processing alone could trim $2–3 million–efficiencies seen in comparable large organizations.

Revenue enhancement

When budgets get tight, boosting revenue is just as critical as cutting costs. AI doesn’t just save money–it makes money. Predictive analytics tools enable universities to identify enrollment trends and fine-tune recruitment strategies. For UC Berkeley, which heavily depends on tuition revenue, targeted marketing campaigns powered by AI could yield a 5–10 percent increase in enrollment.

What does that mean in real dollars? A 5-10 percent uptick in tuition revenue translates to $25-50 million annually. A special report demonstrated the success of AI-driven enrollment strategies, providing a clear benchmark. By leveraging similar tools, Berkeley could mitigate the revenue gap caused by federal cuts.

Energy and resource management

AI isn’t just for spreadsheets and student queries–it can turn the lights off, too. AI-powered energy management systems optimize heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) based on real-time occupancy and weather patterns. A Manhattan office building saw a 15.8 percent reduction in energy consumption after deploying AI systems.

UC Berkeley, with its sprawling campus, spends millions annually on utilities. Applying similar technology could save the university $5-8 million per year–a conservative estimate based on the scale of Berkeley’s infrastructure. Add in predictive maintenance to preempt costly repairs, and the university could trim another $2-4 million annually.

Student support services

Student success is non-negotiable, but the way it’s delivered can evolve. AI-powered academic advising systems analyze student performance data, offering tailored recommendations to keep students on track. Arizona State University’s chatbot Hey Sunny, meanwhile, provides immediate support–filling gaps that overburdened counseling centers often can’t address.

At UC Berkeley, personnel and operational budgets for student support are significant. AI tools could offset 10-15 percent of support staff workloads, saving $3-5 million annually. Georgia State’s success with Pounce provides a strong case study for these efficiency gains.

A crisis of cuts or an opportunity to lead?

Here’s the bottom line: AI can save UC Berkeley an estimated $50-70 million annually across its divisions. These savings align almost perfectly with the $58.8 million funding shortfall anticipated from a 15 percent federal budget cut. While AI isn’t a silver bullet, it’s a powerful tool–one that could position universities like Berkeley to thrive, even in an era of austerity.

The establishment of DOGE signals an uncertain future for higher education funding, but innovation can turn crisis into opportunity. Institutions willing to embrace AI-driven solutions will not only survive but emerge stronger, more efficient, and better equipped to serve their students and society. UC Berkeley, and others like it, stand at the forefront of that transformation–if they choose to lead.

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Dr. John Johnston